The Northwest Climate Science Center (NW CSC) facilitates creation of objective scientific information and tools that Northwest managers of land, water, wildlife, and cultural resources can use to anticipate, monitor, and adapt to climate change. NW CSC products are currently being developed on an ongoing basis. Once completed, this page will provide access to scientific publications, presentations, fact sheets, data, and other products that have been generated by research funded by the NW CSC.


Journal Articles Featured Research Webinars


Journal Articles


Dickerson-Lange, S.E., Eitel, K.B., Dorsey, L., Link, T.E., and J.D. Lundquist (2015, in review), Engaging citizen scientists to observe patterns of snow cover across the Pacific Northwest, Journal of Science Communication. [Project Page]

Li 2015 publication thumbnailLi, S., P.W. Mote, D.E. Rupp, D. Vickers, R. Mera, M. Allen. In press. Evaluation of a regional climate modeling effort for the western United States using a superensemble from Weather@home. Journal of Climate. [External Journal Website]


Boyte 2015 publication thumbnailS.P. Boyte, B.K. Wylie, and D.J. Major. 2015. Mapping and monitoring cheatgrass dieoff in rangelands of the Northern Great Basin. Rangeland Ecology and Management 68:18-28. doi:10.1016/j.rama.2014.12.005. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Creutzburg 2015 publication thumbnailCreutzburg, M.K., E.B. Henderson, and D.R. Conklin. 2015. Climate change and land management impact rangeland condition and sage-grouse habitat in southeastern Oregon. AIMS Environmental Science 2:203-235. doi:10.3934/environsci.2015.2.203.  [External Journal Website] [Project Page

Falke 2015 Publication thumbnailFalke, J.A., R.L. Flitcroft, J.B. Dunham, K.M. McNyset, P.F. Hessburg, G.H. Reeves. 2015. Climate change and vulnerability of bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) in a fire-prone landscape. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 72:304-318. doi:10.1139/cjfas-2014-0098. [External Journal Website] [Project Page

Halofsky 2015 publication thumbnailHalofsky, J.S., J.E. Halofsky, D.R. Conklin, D. Bachelet, M.A. Hemstrom, B.K. Kerns, A.T. Morzillo. 2015. Using a dynamic global vegetation model to help inform management decisions. In D. Bachelet and D. Turner (editors), Global Vegetation Dynamics: Concepts and Applications in the MC1 Model (pp. 153-170). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley. [External Journal Website] [Project Page

Hand 2015 publication thumbHand, B.K., W.H. Lowe, R.P. Kovach, C.C. Muhlfeld, and G. Luikart. 2015. Landscape community genomics: understanding eco-evolutionary processes in complex environments. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 30:161-168. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2015.01.005. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Kovach 2015 publication thumbnailKovach, R.P., C.C. Muhlfeld, A.A. Wade, B.K. Hand, D.C. Whited, P.W. DeHaan, R. Al-Chokhachy, and G. Luikart. 2015. Genetic diversity is related to climatic variation and vulnerability in threatened bull trout. Global Change Biology 21:2510-2524. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12850. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Krosby 2015 publication thumbnailKrosby, M., C.B. Wilsey, J.L. McGuire, J.M. Duggan, T.M. Nogeire, J.A. Heinrichs, J.J. Tewksbury, and J. J. Lawler. 2015. Climate-induced range overlap among closely related species. Nature Climate Change 5:883-886. doi:10.1038/nclimate2699. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Lawrence 2015 publication thumbnailLawrence, D.J., D.A. Beauchamp, J.D. Olden. 2015. Life-stage-specific physiology defines invasion extent of a riverine fish. Journal of Animal Ecology 84:879-888. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12332. [External Journal Website]

Lee 2015 publication thumbnailLee S-Y., M.E. Ryan, A.F. Hamlet, W.J. Palen, J.J. Lawler, M. Halabisky. 2015. Projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change on montane wetlands. PLoS ONE 10(9): e0136385. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0136385. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]
Mote 2015 publication thumbnailMote, P.W., M.R. Allen, R.G. Jones, S. Li, R. Mera, D.E. Rupp, and A. Salahuddin,  Dean Vickers. 2015. Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1. [External Journal Website]
Sheehan 2015 publication thumbnailSheehan, T., D. Bachelet, and K. Ferschweiler. 2015. Projected major fire and vegetation changes in the Pacific Northwest of the conterminous United States under selected CMIP5 climate futures. Ecological Modeling 317:16-29. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.08.023. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]
Strauch 2015 publication thumbnailStrauch, R.L., C.L. Raymond, R.M. Rochefort, A.F. Hamlet, and C. Lauver. 2015. Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A. Climatic Change 130:185-199. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1357-7. [External Journal Website]


Abatzoglou 2014 thumbAbatzoglou, J.T., D.E. Rupp and P.W. Mote. 2014. Seasonal climate variability and change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States. Journal of Climate 27:25-2142. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00218.1 [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

benjamin2014Benjamin, J.R., L.A. Wetzel, K.D. Martens, K. Larsen, and P.J. Connolly. 2014. Spatio-temporal variability in movement, age, and growth of mountain whitefish (Prosopium williamsoni) in a river network based upon PIT tagging and otolith chemistry. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 71:131-140. doi:10.1139/cjfas-2013-0279. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Donatuto 2014 thumbDonatuto, J., E.E. Grossman, J. Konovsky, S. Grossman, and L.W. Campbell. 2014. Indigenous community health and climate change: integrating biophysical and social science indicators. Coastal Management 42:355-373, doi: 10.1080/08920753.2014.923140. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Germino et alGermino, M.J. and K. Reinhardt. 2014. Desert shrub responses to experimental modification of precipitation seasonality and soil depth: relationship to the two-layer hypothesis and ecohydrological niche. Journal of Ecology 102:989-997, doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12266. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Illan 2014 thumbIllán, J.G., C.D. Thomas, J.A. Jones, W.K. Wong, S.M. Shirley, and M.G. Betts. 2014. Precipitation and winter tempertaure predict long-term range-scale abundance changes in Western North American birds. Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12642. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Landguth thumbnailLandguth, E.L., C.C. Muhlfeld, R.S. Waples, L. Jones, W.H. Lowe, D. Whited, J. Lucotch, H. Neville, and G. Luikart. 2014. Combining demographic and genetic factors to assess population vulnerability in stream species. Ecological Applications, doi: 10.1890/13-0499.1. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Lawrence 2014 thumbnailLawrence, D.J., Stewart-Koster, B., Olden, J.D., Ruesch, A.S., Torgersen, C.E., Lawler, J.J. 2014. The interactive effects of climate change, riparian management, and a non-native predators on stream-rearing salmon: Ecological Applications 24:895-912. doi:10.1890/13-0753.1 [External Journal Website]

Muhlfeld 2014 thumbMuhlfeld C.C, R.P. Kovach, L.A. Jones, R. Al-Chokhachy, M.C. Boyer, R.F. Leary, W.H. Lowe, G. Luikart, and F.W. Allendorf. 2014. Invasive hybridization in a threatened species is accelerated by climate change. Nature Climate Change 4:620-624, doi:10.1038/nclimate2252. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Ryan2014thumbRyan M.E., W.J. Palen, M.J. Adams, and R.M. Rochefort. 2014. Amphibians in the climate vise: loss and restoration of resilience of montane wetland ecosystems in the western US. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 12:232-240, doi:10.1890/130145. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]


Bohn2013Bohn, T. J., B. Livneh, J. W. Oyler, S. W. Running, B. Nijssen, and D. P. Lettenmaier (2013), Global evaluation of MTCLIM and related algorithms for forcing of ecological and hydrological models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 176:38-49. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.03.003. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Boyte 2013Boyte, S.P., B.K. Wylie, D.J. Major, and J.F. Brown. 2013. The integration of geophysical and enhanced Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Normalized Difference Vegetation Index data into a rule-based, piecewise regression-tree model to estimate cheatgrass beginning of spring growth. International Journal of Digital Earth, doi:10.1080/17538947.2013.860196. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]


Glick 2015 publication thumbnailGlick, P., L. Helbrecht, J. J. Lawler, and M. J. Case. 2013. Safeguarding Washington’s Fish and Wildlife in an Era of Climate Change: A Case Study of Partnerships in Action, National Wildlife Federation, Seattle, WA. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

livneh 2013Livneh B., E.A. Rosenberg, C. Lin, B. Nijssen, V. Mishra, K.M. Andreadis, E.P. Maurer, and D.P. Lettenmaier (2013), A long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States: Update and extensions. Journal of Climate 26:9384-9392. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00508.1. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Rupp et alRupp, D. E., J. T. Abatzoglou, K. C. Hegewisch, and P. W. Mote (2013), Evaluation of CMIP5 20th century climate simulations for the Pacific Northwest USA, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 10,884–10,906, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50843. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

shirley 2013Shirley, S.M., Z. Yang, R.A. Hutchinson, J.D. Alexander, K. McGarigal, and M.G. Betts. 2013. Species distribution modeling for the people: unclassified landsat TM imagery predicts bird occurrence at fine resolutions. Diversity and Distributions 19:855-866. doi:10.1111/ddi.12093. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]

Wenger et alWenger, S. J., Som, N. A., Dauwalter, D. C., Isaak, D. J., Neville, H. M., Luce, C. H., Dunham, J. B., Young, M. K., Fausch, K. D. and Rieman, B. E. (2013), Probabilistic accounting of uncertainty in forecasts of species distributions under climate change. Global Change Biology, 19: 3343–3354. doi:10.1111/gcb.12294. [External Journal Website] [Project Page]


Featured Research

Dunham Research FeatureRange-wide Climate Vulnerability Assessment for Threatened Bull Trout [PDF, 335 KB] [Project Page]


CMIP3 vs 5 thumbComparing CMIP5 and CMIP3 for the Pacific Northwest [PDF, 614 KB] [Project Page]



Creutzburg webinar thumbUsing State-and-Transition Simulation Models to Guide Sustainable Management of Ecosystems: Three Case Studies from across the US, Megan Creutzburg, Jennifer Costanza & Brian Miller [Webinar Recording] [Project Page]

muhlfeld thumbPredicting Climate Change Impacts on Aquatic Ecosystems across the Pacific Northwest, Clint Muhlfeld [Webinar Recording] [Project Page]

Donatuto webinar thumb 71x53Correlation and Climate Sensitivity of Human Health and Environmental Indicators in the Salish Sea, Jamie Donatuto & Eric Grossman [Webinar Recording] [Project Page]

Dunham Webinar thumbRange-wide Vulnerability Assessment for Bull Trout Update, Jason Dunham [Webinar Recording] [Project Page]

Germino webinar thumbSagebrush Responses to Shifting Climate and Fire Disturbances, Matthew Germino [Webinar Recording] [Project Page]
Polly Buotte webinar thumbnail 70x50Climate Change, Mountain Pine Beetles, and Whitebark Pine Forests of the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, Polly Buotte [Webinar Recording] [Project Page]








Page Last Updated: May 28, 2015